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The Information Network is sticking with a 2004 semiconductor sales forecast of $211.7bn - a 27% increase - but warns of a "growing disconnect between the semiconductor and the semiconductor equipment market".
The Information Network is sticking with a 2004 semiconductor sales forecast of $211.7bn - a 27% increase - but warns of a "growing disconnect between the semiconductor and the semiconductor equipment market". The 2005 sales growth is expected to be a more modest 10%. The number of unsold chips industry wide is estimated at $830mn at the end of June 2004 compared with $12mn at the end of March 2004.

The first two quarters saw equipment sales increase 51.6% and 51.1% over the previous year. This is expected to fall back in the second half. The market researcher believes that 2005 will be a year of technology rather than capacity purchases.

IC Insights produced foundry sales rankings for 2002 and 2003, along with a forecast for 2004. While the sales ranking order for the top three does not change over the period, China's SMIC is expected to become a clear No.4 this year. TSMC leads with a falling share 2002-2004 - 54%, 52%, 47%. UMC remains steady at No.2 - 25%, 24%, 24%. No.3 Chartered in Singapore shows a slight increase this year - 6%, 6%, 7%. SMIC - 1%, 3%, 6%.

The sales totals for the period come to $8.575bn, $11.330bn, $17.170bn. One European foundry scrapes into the top ten at No.10, X-FAB of Germany. This company is given a steady 1% ($100mn, $127mn, $200mn).

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